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Another Professor

Professor Anthony King teaches Politics at Essex University and is a BBC luvy, as can be expected from this, his politics show, and show through clearly in his account of the Hartlepool Election in today’s Telegraph.

Professor King wrote
“The principal author of the Tories’ rout this week was, of course, the UKIP. Both the opinion polls and real election results show that the UKIP cuts deeply into the Conservatives’ vote but not into anyone else’s. In Hartlepool, where the party did not even bother to field a candidate in 2001, Stephen Allison won 10.2 per cent of the vote and came third, though still a long way behind Labour and the Liberal Democrats.

In the European Parliament elections in June the UKIP won 19.8 per cent of the popular vote and captured one of the North East region’s three Strasbourg seats. That success has clearly caused some voters to take notice of the UKIP and possibly think the party worth voting for. However, there are still no signs that the UKIP is benefiting in any large way from the Conservatives’ losses. A Westminster seat still seems likely to elude them.

The danger for the Conservatives now is that they will overreact to the UKIP’s relatively modest advance. The biggest threats confronting the Tories remain the Labour Party and the Liberal Democrats - and themselves”.

Professor King is intelligent enough to understand that Hartlepool is a Labour stronghold, and the fact is UKIP beat the Tories, how is it that he can surmise from this that they would not beat them in a Conservative stronghold and gain a seat in parliament. How can he say there are no signs UKIP will benefit from conservatives losses? he is contradicting himself as he has already said they did, when he says “Both the opinion polls and real election results show that the UKIP cuts deeply into the Conservatives’ vote but not into anyone else’s”

Seems a bit like wistful thinking to me Professor, UKIP are attracting votes from all major parties, but mainly Tories because that is the weakest party, and that is where UKIP are pointing most of their guns because if the Tories can be forced to change their policy then there is a chance that we can rescue something from all of this, and there is a chance that Britain will still be, or will be again a self-governing country.

The Professors plea that the Tories do not change their stance on the EU is because that will continue to play into the hands of the EU. For as long as the British people do not have a viable alternative to vote for a major party that can gain power and at the same time promise to really put a stop to this EU nonsense then the British people do not have a voice and the EU steam roller will just continue to trundle on. UKIP do not have a chance of forming a government and therefore our best bet is a recharged Tory party if the Tories fail to rise to the challenge they will just keep loosing more and more votes until they will just fade away.

Not surprisingly we find the Essex University is another one of those Jean Monet Centres of European Excellence and is therefore in receipt of lots of our money to promote the EU by teaching EU integration subjects, It will be interesting when one of these people who are paid by the EU actually makes a sensible comment which and does not try to portray everything in a pro EU light.

Dr North at EU Referendum analyses the UKIP stance on the Tories and Mr Howard`s response to the Hartlepool election debacle, as usual Dr North clearly states the situation as it stands and makes the case that the Tories Still do Not Get It.

Dr North..

In that context, the Howard interview published in today`s Daily Telegraph does little more than demonstrate how little Howard understands the forces ranged against him.

Dragged kicking and screaming into a more Eurosceptic position in the wake of the Hartlepool disaster, he is now offering an early referendum on the constitution in the autumn of 2005, during the UK presidency of the EU - and a commitment to bringing powers back from Brussels, although only in terms of seeking to reinstate Britain’s opt-out from the social chapter; renegotiating the Common Fisheries Policy; and taking back control over international aid.

But, as always, he falls at the first fence. Asked what would happen if other EU members said “no”, says the Telegraph, “Mr Howard refused to be drawn”.

“I don’t go into negotiations expecting to fail,” he said.

That, of course, is not enough  not anything like enough. Bringing forward the constitutional referendum is only window dressing and the renegotiation agenda is too limited. Furthermore, without a commitment to withdraw from the EU if the renegotiations fail, Howard is nowhere. This is not going to attract the UKIP vote, despite Howard fond hopes expressed in the front page story of the Telegraph.
Read Dr North`s full article Here

Off Subject But..

Adam Smith Institute:

“By Dr Eamonn Butler Health

Tony Blair’s had his minor heart operation and is apparently in fine fettle, so good luck to him. Remarkable, though, how our leading politicians seem to get treated so quickly while the rest of us NHS patients have to wait.

‘Unlike Tony, I’m still waiting for treatment,’ says Mickey Clark, the Markets Correspondent in London’s Evening Standard newspaper today. ‘The Prime Minister and I are both 51 and suffer from irregular heartbeats. There the similarities end.’”